Nulith’s Shah: ‘Indian newspaper industry recovery to be slow’

Newspaper recovery poor, packaging recovery strong

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Nulith team
L to R: Kaushil Shah, Suresh Shah and Naineel Shah of Nulith Photo Nulith

The Indian newspaper industry’s recovery will be slow. The industry may not get back to the pre-lockdown levels in the current financial year, Suresh Shah of Mumbai-based consumables supplier Nulith told Indian Printer and Publisher. While Shah’s newspaper related consumables business is down to 20 to 25% of pre-lockdown levels, he says the packaging business has recovered to 70 to 80% of pre-lockdown levels.

“We have seen a sharp decline in the circulation of newspapers due to the imposition of the lockdown. There is some recovery since June, but the distribution of newspapers remains a challenge. We may see some jump in advertising revenue during the upcoming festival season and recovery in circulation due to more unlocking. However, I feel the industry may not be able to get back to pre-lockdown levels this financial year,” said Shah.

During the early phases of the Covid-19 induced lockdown that came into effect on 25 March, many parts of the metro and non-metro cities did not receive any newspapers. Metro cities with large housing complexes and especially Mumbai and Delhi, which had many active cases, were significantly affected. Since the first phase of unlocking in June, there is an improvement in circulation, but it is still much lower than pre-lockdown levels.

In a survey published in July and reported by us, EY said that only 32% of metro respondents were getting newspapers at home while 65% of non-metro respondents were getting their papers delivered at their doorstep. “Our newspaper related business now is only 20-25% of the pre-lockdown levels. This indicates the damage that the industry has seen due to lower advertising revenue and disruption in circulation. I expect newspaper circulation levels to go back to about 70% in the coming months,” Shah added.

Mumbai-based Nulith has long supplied blankets and press consumables to the newspaper industry and offers press maintenance services. To the packaging industry, it provides flexo plates, coating solutions, and inks.

Sharp recovery for Nuliith’s packaging consumables  

In contrast to both the newspaper and commercial printing sectors, the Indian packaging industry has been relatively unscathed because it plays a role in the supply chain for essential goods such as food and pharma. Although it suffered from various constraints due to the lockdown, especially in April, it has seen a relatively quick recovery in recent months. Nulith’s Shah says his packaging related consumables business has bounced back to 70-80% of pre-lockdown levels.

“Due to the essential nature of the packaging business, the industry has been more or less unaffected by the Covid-19 related lockdown in India. Our packaging related business has seen an excellent recovery, and I expect the business to go back to 100% very soon,” Shah said.

Nulith distributes water-based coating solutions from Germany’s Actega and flexo plates from China’s Lucky Graphics. The company is also developing new coating solutions in association with other local players. “The base materials for these coatings will be imported, but all the value addition will happen at our facility in Bhiwandi (near Mumbai). These coatings for flexible and paperboard packaging are expected to hit the Indian market in October,” Shah concludes.

2023 promises an interesting ride for print in India

Indian Printer and Publisher founded in 1979 is the oldest B2B trade publication in the multi-platform and multi-channel IPPGroup. While the print and packaging industries have been resilient in the past 33 months since the pandemic lockdown of 25 March 2020, the commercial printing and newspaper industries have yet to recover their pre-Covid trajectory.

The fragmented commercial printing industry faces substantial challenges as does the newspaper industry. While digital short-run printing and the signage industry seem to be recovering a bit faster, ultimately their growth will also be moderated by the progress of the overall economy. On the other hand book printing exports are doing well but they too face several supply-chain and logistics challenges.

The price of publication papers including newsprint has been high in the past year while availability is diminished by several mills shutting down their publication paper and newsprint machines in the past four years. Indian paper mills are also exporting many types of paper and have raised prices for Indian printers. To some extent, this has helped in the recovery of the digital printing industry with its on-demand short-run and low-wastage paradigm.

Ultimately digital print and other digital channels will help print grow in a country where we are still far behind in our paper and print consumption and where digital is a leapfrog technology that will only increase the demand for print in the foreseeable future. For instance, there is no alternative to a rise in textbook consumption but this segment will only reach normality in the next financial year beginning on 1 April 2023.

Thus while the new normal is a moving target and many commercial printers look to diversification, we believe that our target audiences may shift and change. Like them, we will also have to adapt with agility to keep up with their business and technical information needs.

Our 2023 media kit is ready, and it is the right time to take stock and reconnect with your potential markets and customers. Print is the glue for the growth of liberal education, new industry, and an emerging economy. We seek your participation in what promises to be an interesting ride.

– Naresh Khanna

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