Trade fair blues

Department of futurology – Looking beyond drupa and interpack

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Paper decorations from drupa 2012
Paper decorations from drupa 2012

The cancellations of interpack and drupa didn’t come as a surprise. The stakes were too high, and the risks too obvious. Even if some sort of reduced and adapted physical trade fairs can be organized in the months ahead, platforms that depend on large international audiences will be compelled to ‘go virtual’ and postpone the real thing for after 2021. Too much uncertainty remains on travel restrictions, accommodation constraints, partial lockdowns, and quarantine obligations as long as the Covid-19 pandemic continues to rage in most parts of the world. Vaccination campaigns are already in preparation, but their roll-out will not start to reach a larger public until well after next summer.

Actually, all the other events organized by or in conjunction with Messe Düsseldorf on its fairgrounds have been canceled for the first part of 2021, except for Boats. This essentially local consumer fair has been shifted from January to April for the time being. As to Interpack and Drupa, the organizers, in their decisions announced and published on 3 December, rightly acknowledge that canceling the two shows now allows participants “to make reliable plans going forward.” The next Interpack takes place in May 2023, and Drupa from 28 May to 7 June 2024. In the meantime, online preview gigs are already in place, linking up with individual technology suppliers, and virtual events are still to be held on and beyond the dates scheduled for 2021.

Paper decorations at the entrance to drupa 2012
Paper decorations at the entrance to drupa 2012

Photokina

However, Koelnmesse’s Photokina, for 70 years the world’s largest imaging event, has been forced to throw in the towel indefinitely. Photokina announced its demise one week before Messe Düsseldorf’s statement on Interpack and Drupa. Initially planned for 2020 and postponed until 2022, the show struggled to keep up with “the massive decline in markets for imaging products” over the past few years. Early signs of trouble were announcements in 2017 that the biennial fair would become an annual event and diversify beyond camera equipment. 

A year later, Photokina decided that the 2019 edition would be postponed to give companies the time to “further develop a new concept” for the show. Instead, major brands such as Fujifilm, Nikon, Leica, and Olympus decided not to attend. Apparently, the final nail in the coffin was the Covid pandemic, which further affected the prospects for both the imaging market and its leading trade fair in Europe. Koelnmesse is still holding on to its participation in a few Asian imaging fairs.

The book fairs and rights events

Also, in early December, another major event closed down for good. Reed Exhibition’s combined BookExpo and BookCon (formerly Book Expo America) declared their’ retirement.’ After their suspension earlier this year because of the pandemic, BookExpo and its public-facing BookCon decided to give it up after shrinking in size and scope for years on end. A short-lived competing event, the New York Rights Fair initiated by the Bologna Children’s Book Fair in collaboration with Fiera Milano and others, didn’t make it beyond its first appearance in 2018. It can be expected that one of the consequences of these closures will be the increase of virtual events by the book publishers themselves. Small local book fairs may survive and make up for some of the marketing opportunities lost but are hardly suitable for the international rights trading activities that the industry needs.

For next year, some of the international trade events are still on. The leading book fairs in London, Bologna, Paris, and Leipzig hope to maintain their physical events already moved from March to May and June. 

Fespa in Amsterdam in March 2021?

Fespa’s Global Print Expo and European Sign Expo, moved from Madrid and Munich and postponed twice already this year, is still planned for 9-12 March 2021, in Amsterdam. No-one seriously believes Fespa organizers can stick to these dates. Labelexpo, to be held in September in Brussels, hopes to get the authorities’ all-clear by the end of March.

2023 promises an interesting ride for print in India

Indian Printer and Publisher founded in 1979 is the oldest B2B trade publication in the multi-platform and multi-channel IPPGroup. While the print and packaging industries have been resilient in the past 33 months since the pandemic lockdown of 25 March 2020, the commercial printing and newspaper industries have yet to recover their pre-Covid trajectory.

The fragmented commercial printing industry faces substantial challenges as does the newspaper industry. While digital short-run printing and the signage industry seem to be recovering a bit faster, ultimately their growth will also be moderated by the progress of the overall economy. On the other hand book printing exports are doing well but they too face several supply-chain and logistics challenges.

The price of publication papers including newsprint has been high in the past year while availability is diminished by several mills shutting down their publication paper and newsprint machines in the past four years. Indian paper mills are also exporting many types of paper and have raised prices for Indian printers. To some extent, this has helped in the recovery of the digital printing industry with its on-demand short-run and low-wastage paradigm.

Ultimately digital print and other digital channels will help print grow in a country where we are still far behind in our paper and print consumption and where digital is a leapfrog technology that will only increase the demand for print in the foreseeable future. For instance, there is no alternative to a rise in textbook consumption but this segment will only reach normality in the next financial year beginning on 1 April 2023.

Thus while the new normal is a moving target and many commercial printers look to diversification, we believe that our target audiences may shift and change. Like them, we will also have to adapt with agility to keep up with their business and technical information needs.

Our 2023 media kit is ready, and it is the right time to take stock and reconnect with your potential markets and customers. Print is the glue for the growth of liberal education, new industry, and an emerging economy. We seek your participation in what promises to be an interesting ride.

– Naresh Khanna

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1 COMMENT

  1. We are now moving from ambiguity to futurology again. For an industry that has been addicted to humongous exhibitions such as drupa and interpack, it is a relief that they have finally been postponed to 2024 and 2023, respectively. One hated the thought that they could have been held in some way and that many of us far-flung visitors and even correspondents couldn’t have taken part because of quarantine and visa restrictions, and cost constraints – let alone common sense.

    Even though it made no sense to go to these events under the present conditions, there was the fear of missing out – FOMO. Ridiculous, but that’s how humans are. We often cursed these shows, but in the pandemic, we have understood how important they are and how much they collectively present in terms of possibilities and our own way of understanding and learning technology. These shows connect theory with hardware and software while pointing to the applications, which sometimes never come to fruition simply because they do not serve any human need. It’s entirely another matter that some of us are hooked on new technology, no matter how unnecessary it sometimes is, or how inappropriate it for some economies. But the addiction gives some of us (not all of us) the feeling that we are part of some positive civilization enterprise.

    On a more down-to-earth level, they (the technology and business events) create a community out of our industry both locally and globally. In fact, we often discuss technology to escape from the everyday realities and the fundamental problems in our societies that we need to solve and which should be the argument to use better technology in the first place. It’s ironic that Indian printers discuss innovation, artificial intelligence, and machine learning without discussing education on which our government spends only 2% of the GDP.

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